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Iraqi League

Sept. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Karbala Al Karkh
Karbala D W L L L L
Al Karkh L L D L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Karbala Al Karkh 1 - 1 March 28, 2025
Al Karkh Karbala 2 - 1 November 6, 2024
Karbala Al Karkh 2 - 1 June 22, 2024
Al Karkh Karbala 1 - 2 December 8, 2023
Karbala Al Karkh 2 - 1 April 18, 2023
Al Karkh Karbala 1 - 0 October 29, 2022

Karbala Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Away Al Shorta 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 8, 26 Away Baghdad 0 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 25 Home Al Hudod 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 27, 25 Home Naft 2 - 4 Loss
Jun 18, 25 Away Newroz 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 13, 25 Home Al-Karma 0 - 2 Loss

Al Karkh Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 20, 26 Away Al-Jolan SC 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Away Naft 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 1, 26 Away Al Talaba 1 - 1 Draw
May 28, 26 Home Al Shorta 0 - 2 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Al Najaf 2 - 5 Win
May 15, 26 Away Gharraf 2 - 2 Draw

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Karbala 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
19 Al Karkh 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Karbala or Al Karkh to win
This prediction indicates that Al Karkh has a 37.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.27 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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