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Iraqi League

Aug. 21, 2026 6 days, 12 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Mosul Diyala
Mosul W D L D D L
Diyala W L L L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Mosul Diyala 1 - 4 April 26, 2026
Mosul Diyala 0 - 3 October 5, 2025

Mosul Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Home Al-Qasim 3 - 0 Win
May 27, 26 Away Newroz 1 - 1 Draw
May 20, 26 Away Al Minaa Basra 1 - 0 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Duhok 3 - 3 Draw
May 11, 26 Home Al Talaba 2 - 2 Draw
May 6, 26 Away Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 - 1 Loss

Diyala Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Home Duhok 1 - 0 Win
May 27, 26 Away Al-Karma 1 - 0 Loss
May 19, 26 Home Baghdad 1 - 4 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Al Shorta 0 - 2 Loss
May 11, 26 Away Zakho 1 - 2 Win
May 6, 26 Away Gharraf 0 - 0 Draw

Iraqi League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Diyala 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Mosul 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Diyala to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Diyala has a 35.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.21 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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