Erbil vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya Friday 21st August 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Iraqi League

Aug. 21, 2026 6 days, 16 hours from now VS

Erbil Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Erbil W W W L W D

Al Quwa Al Jawiya D W W W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Al Quwa Al Jawiya	Erbil	1 - 1	April 23, 2026
Erbil	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	0 - 0	January 4, 2026
Al Quwa Al Jawiya	Erbil	1 - 2	June 19, 2025
Erbil	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	0 - 2	February 4, 2025
Al Quwa Al Jawiya	Erbil	2 - 1	July 1, 2024
Erbil	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1 - 4	December 9, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 2, 26	Home	Baghdad	3 - 1	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Zakho	1 - 2	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Al Shorta	0 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Newroz	0 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Al Najaf	1 - 4	Win
May 6, 26	Home	Al Kahrabaa	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Away	Newroz	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 2, 26	Home	Zakho	3 - 2	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Naft Maysan	0 - 2	Win
May 20, 26	Home	Al Zawra'a	2 - 1	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Al Talaba	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Duhok	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Erbil	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction indicates that Erbil has a 35.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.93 %

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