Iraqi League
Match Analysis
Karbala
Erbil
Karbala
L
L
D
D
W
L
Erbil
W
W
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karbala | Erbil | 0 - 2 | May 2, 2025 |
| Erbil | Karbala | 3 - 1 | January 23, 2025 |
| Erbil | Karbala | 4 - 1 | July 5, 2024 |
| Karbala | Erbil | 3 - 5 | February 19, 2024 |
| Erbil | Karbala | 1 - 0 | March 12, 2023 |
| Karbala | Erbil | 2 - 1 | October 10, 2022 |
Karbala Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Al-Karma | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Mosul | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Al Zawra'a | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Al Shorta | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 8, 26 | Away | Baghdad | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 25 | Home | Al Hudod | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Erbil Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Al Minaa Basra | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Al Karkh | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Al Kahrabaa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 2, 26 | Home | Baghdad | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 28, 26 | Away | Zakho | 1 - 2 | Win |
Iraqi League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 19 | Karbala | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.65% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Erbil to win
This prediction indicates that Erbil has a 68.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.58 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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