Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor Sunday 18th October 2026 01:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Missing players 5 (reported 18 Oct)
Kasimpasa
Samsunspor

Reports usually appear close to kick-off and may be incomplete: a player not listed is not confirmed fit.

Match Analysis

Kasimpasa Samsunspor
Kasimpasa L W D W D D
Samsunspor L L L L L W
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Kasimpasa and Samsunspor are closely matched in overall quality, but Kasimpasa has shown better recent form compared to Samsunspor's poor recent form. Historically, Kasimpasa has dominated their meetings, and those games have usually been tight with few goals. The model predicts a home win with a 40% probability, which aligns with the market odds that slightly favor Kasimpasa. The model also sees a 50% chance that both teams will score and a 46% chance the game will finish with under 2.5 goals, views that are somewhat more cautious than the market odds suggest.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Competition Date
Kasimpasa Samsunspor 3 - 0 Friendlies Clubs August 8, 2026
Kasimpasa Samsunspor 0 - 1 Süper Lig January 30, 2026
Samsunspor Kasimpasa 0 - 0 Süper Lig September 17, 2025
Samsunspor Kasimpasa 0 - 2 Süper Lig March 29, 2025
Kasimpasa Samsunspor 1 - 4 Süper Lig October 26, 2024
Kasimpasa Samsunspor 1 - 0 Süper Lig April 27, 2024

Kasimpasa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 9, 26 Away Galatasaray Süper Lig 3 - 1 Loss
Oct 3, 26 Home Fatih Karagümrük Friendlies Clubs 2 - 1 Win
Sep 18, 26 Home Konyaspor Süper Lig 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 13, 26 Away Genclerbirligi Süper Lig 1 - 2 Win
Sep 6, 26 Home Amed Süper Lig 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 30, 26 Away Istanbul Basaksehir Süper Lig 1 - 1 Draw

Samsunspor Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Trabzonspor Süper Lig 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 20, 26 Away Erzurum BB Süper Lig 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Home Yeni Çorumspor Süper Lig 1 - 5 Loss
Sep 6, 26 Away Kocaelispor Süper Lig 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home Fenerbahce Süper Lig 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Rizespor Süper Lig 0 - 2 Win

Süper Lig Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8 8 0 10
17 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6 15 -9 4
View full table
Pos Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 8 6 1 1 +6 19
2 Amed 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Fenerbahce 8 5 1 2 +16 16
4 Besiktas 7 5 0 2 +8 15
5 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 +11 13
6 Yeni Çorumspor 8 4 1 3 +5 13
7 Kocaelispor 7 4 0 3 +2 12
8 Alanyaspor 8 3 3 2 -1 12
9 Erzurum BB 8 3 2 3 -6 11
10 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 0 10
11 Rizespor 8 3 1 4 -3 10
12 Istanbul Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Gazişehir Gaziantep 7 2 2 3 -3 8
14 Genclerbirligi 8 2 2 4 -9 8
15 Goztepe 7 1 3 3 0 6
16 Konyaspor 8 1 2 5 -5 5
17 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 -9 4
18 Eyüpspor 8 1 0 7 -20 3

Predictions

Kasimpasa or Samsunspor to win
This prediction indicates that Kasimpasa has a 40.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.38 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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