Kataller Toyama vs Shonan Bellmare Saturday 17th October 2026 12:00 PM football predictions.

J2 League

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Kataller Toyama View team ›

Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 15 hours ago

1 – 1

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Shonan Bellmare View team ›

Match Analysis

Kataller Toyama Shonan Bellmare

Kataller Toyama D W D W D W

Shonan Bellmare D L D W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Shonan Bellmare has had the upper hand against Kataller Toyama, with those encounters usually seeing few goals scored. The model predicts a home win with a 43% chance, noting that the two teams are otherwise closely matched in overall quality and both are in moderate recent form. Market odds are not available for direct comparison in this match. The model also sees a slight edge toward fewer goals overall, with the under 2.5 goals outcome favored at 55% and both teams scoring seen as unlikely at only a 50% chance for a 'yes'.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Shonan Bellmare	Kataller Toyama	2 - 0	J2 League	July 26, 2014
Kataller Toyama	Shonan Bellmare	0 - 1	J2 League	June 7, 2014
Kataller Toyama	Shonan Bellmare	0 - 2	J2 League	October 28, 2012
Shonan Bellmare	Kataller Toyama	1 - 0	J2 League	June 9, 2012

Kataller Toyama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Home	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	J2 League	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 3, 26	Away	Ventforet Kofu	J2 League	1 - 2	Win
Sep 26, 26	Home	Yokohama FC	J2 League	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 19, 26	Away	Montedio Yamagata	J2 League	0 - 2	Win
Sep 12, 26	Home	Tochigi City	J2 League	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 6, 26	Away	Jubilo Iwata	J2 League	0 - 1	Win

Shonan Bellmare Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 11, 26	Home	Albirex Niigata	J2 League	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 7, 26	Away	FC Tokyo	Emperor Cup	4 - 0	Loss
Oct 3, 26	Away	Fujieda MYFC	J2 League	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Away	Imabari	J2 League	1 - 2	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Blaublitz Akita	J2 League	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 12, 26	Away	Vanraure Hachinohe	J2 League	0 - 1	Win

J2 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Kataller Toyama	30	16	9	5	58	35	+23	57
9	Shonan Bellmare	30	12	10	8	37	30	+7	46

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	31	19	9	3	+28	66
2	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	31	19	7	5	+24	64
3	Kataller Toyama	31	16	10	5	+23	58
4	Albirex Niigata	31	15	9	7	0	54
5	Omiya Ardija	31	15	7	9	+20	52
6	Yokohama FC	31	15	6	10	+15	51
7	Tokushima Vortis	31	15	5	11	+16	50
8	Blaublitz Akita	31	14	7	10	+7	49
9	Shonan Bellmare	31	12	11	8	+7	47
10	Sagan Tosu	31	13	8	10	+7	47
11	Fujieda MYFC	31	10	15	6	+7	45
12	Ventforet Kofu	30	13	4	13	-3	43
13	Oita Trinita	31	11	9	11	+8	42
14	Consadole Sapporo	31	12	6	13	-2	42
15	Iwaki	30	11	7	12	-2	40
16	Jubilo Iwata	31	9	10	12	-8	37
17	Montedio Yamagata	31	10	4	17	-4	34
18	Tochigi City	31	9	7	15	-12	34
19	Kagoshima United	20	9	6	5	+10	33
20	FC Gifu	20	9	4	7	-1	31
21	Imabari	31	8	7	16	-13	31
22	Sagamihara	20	8	6	6	+1	30
23	Vanraure Hachinohe	31	7	9	15	-16	30
24	Kochi United	20	8	5	7	+1	29
25	Roasso Kumamoto	20	9	2	9	-2	29
26	Ehime FC	20	8	3	9	+5	27
27	Renofa Yamaguchi	20	7	6	7	+1	27
28	Gainare Tottori	20	7	6	7	-2	27
29	Matsumoto Yamaga	20	6	7	7	+8	25
30	Kanazawa	20	6	7	7	-5	25
31	Nara Club	20	6	5	9	-7	23
32	Thespakusatsu Gunma	20	6	4	10	-14	22
33	Kamatamare Sanuki	20	6	4	10	-16	22
34	Biwako Shiga	20	6	3	11	-15	21
35	Fukushima United	20	5	5	10	-12	20
36	Osaka	20	3	10	7	-3	19
37	Tochigi SC	20	4	7	9	-5	19
38	FC Ryukyu	20	3	8	9	-11	17
39	Kitakyushu	20	4	4	12	-17	16
40	Parceiro Nagano	20	3	7	10	-18	16

Predictions

Kataller Toyama to win

This prediction indicates that Kataller Toyama has a 43.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.24 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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