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Úrvalsdeild
Keflavik logo Keflavik
Sept. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Valur Reykjavik logo Valur Reykjavik

Match Analysis

Keflavik Valur Reykjavik
Keflavik W L W L W L
Valur Reykjavik D L W L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Valur Reykjavik Keflavik 1 - 1 June 21, 2026
Keflavik Valur Reykjavik 1 - 1 August 13, 2023
Valur Reykjavik Keflavik 0 - 0 May 21, 2023
Valur Reykjavik Keflavik 0 - 3 July 11, 2022
Keflavik Valur Reykjavik 0 - 1 April 24, 2022
Valur Reykjavik Keflavik 2 - 1 August 15, 2021

Keflavik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Thor Akureyri 0 - 2 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Stjarnan 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 5, 26 Home KA Akureyri 3 - 0 Win
Jul 24, 26 Away Vikingur Reykjavik 5 - 1 Loss
Jul 20, 26 Home IA Akranes 5 - 2 Win
Jul 13, 26 Away Breidablik 2 - 1 Loss

Valur Reykjavik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 17, 26 Home KA Akureyri 4 - 4 Draw
Aug 13, 26 Away FC Nordsjaelland 5 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Breidablik 1 - 3 Win
Aug 6, 26 Home FC Nordsjaelland 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 3, 26 Home Stjarnan 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Away Zrinjski 2 - 2 Draw

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Keflavik 19 7 4 8 30 34 -4 25
7 Valur Reykjavik 18 7 1 10 30 37 -7 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.8% likelihood that both Keflavik and Valur Reykjavik will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Keflavik to win
This prediction indicates that Keflavik has a 43.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.45 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Úrvalsdeild

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri 12 hours from now · 8 p.m. › Keflavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar 12 hours from now · 8 p.m. › KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik 12 hours from now · 8 p.m. › Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik 15 hours from now · 10:15 p.m. › IA Akranes vs FH hafnarfjordur 12 hours from now · 8 p.m. ›