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Stjarnan logo Stjarnan
Aug. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Thor Akureyri logo Thor Akureyri

Match Analysis

Stjarnan Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan W L W W L D
Thor Akureyri W D W L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Thor Akureyri Stjarnan 1 - 3 May 31, 2026

Stjarnan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 3, 26 Away Valur Reykjavik 2 - 3 Win
Jul 30, 26 Away Ilves 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home IA Akranes 5 - 1 Win
Jul 23, 26 Home Ilves 1 - 0 Win
Jul 19, 26 Away KR Reykjavik 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 16, 26 Home Vikingur Gota 2 - 2 Draw

Thor Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 4, 26 Home Breidablik 1 - 0 Win
Jul 27, 26 Away KA Akureyri 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Vikingur Reykjavik 2 - 1 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Fram Reykjavik 6 - 1 Loss
Jul 2, 26 Home KR Reykjavik 3 - 3 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Home Valur Reykjavik 2 - 4 Loss

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Stjarnan 17 7 3 7 37 38 -1 24
10 Thor Akureyri 17 4 3 10 18 42 -24 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.2% likelihood that both Stjarnan and Thor Akureyri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Stjarnan to win
This prediction indicates that Stjarnan has a 61.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.18 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Úrvalsdeild

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