Kelty Hearts vs Montrose Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Challenge Cup

Kelty Hearts

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Montrose

Match Analysis

Kelty Hearts Montrose

Kelty Hearts W W L L W L

Montrose W W W W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kelty Hearts	Montrose	3 - 1	April 11, 2026
Montrose	Kelty Hearts	1 - 1	March 3, 2026
Kelty Hearts	Montrose	0 - 3	December 6, 2025
Montrose	Kelty Hearts	1 - 2	August 9, 2025
Kelty Hearts	Montrose	0 - 0	March 8, 2025
Montrose	Kelty Hearts	0 - 0	January 4, 2025

Kelty Hearts Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	Cumbernauld Colts	0 - 3	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Annan Athletic	2 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Stranraer	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 25, 26	Home	Clydebank	2 - 4	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Dumbarton	3 - 1	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Elgin City	4 - 1	Loss

Montrose Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Home	Dundee II	3 - 2	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Peterhead	0 - 3	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Queen of the South	2 - 1	Win
Aug 25, 26	Home	Clyde	3 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Home	East Kilbride	3 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	3 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.62% likelihood that both Kelty Hearts and Montrose will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Kelty Hearts or Montrose to win

This prediction indicates that Montrose has a 40.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.50 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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