Kelty Hearts vs Motherwell U21 Tuesday 11th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Kelty Hearts Motherwell U21

Kelty Hearts L W L D L L

Motherwell U21 L L L L L D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Aberdeen	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Brora Rangers	3 - 2	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Queen's Park	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Dunfermline	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	East Kilbride	4 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 11, 25	Away	Queen of the South	3 - 1	Loss
Oct 11, 25	Away	Stenhousemuir	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 23, 25	Away	Stranraer	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 25	Away	Clyde	4 - 0	Loss
Aug 26, 25	Away	East Kilbride	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 13, 25	Away	Hamilton Academical	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.95% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Kelty Hearts has a 36.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.91 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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