Kerry vs Wexford Friday 25th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

First Division

Sept. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Kerry Wexford

Kerry W W D L W W

Wexford W L L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Wexford	Kerry	2 - 2	July 10, 2026
Kerry	Wexford	2 - 1	May 15, 2026
Wexford	Kerry	1 - 1	March 13, 2026
Kerry	Wexford	0 - 2	October 10, 2025
Wexford	Kerry	4 - 3	June 27, 2025
Kerry	Wexford	1 - 1	May 16, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Longford Town	0 - 1	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	Treaty United	3 - 1	Win
Aug 21, 26	Home	UCD	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 7, 26	Away	Cork City	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Home	Cobh Ramblers	3 - 0	Win
Jul 31, 26	Away	Bray Wanderers	0 - 4	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 4, 26	Away	Treaty United	0 - 1	Win
Aug 28, 26	Away	Cork City	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Home	Athlone Town	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Away	UCD	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Home	Bray Wanderers	2 - 1	Win
Jul 31, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Kerry	29	10	9	10	38	35	+3	39
8	Wexford	30	10	7	13	33	43	-10	37

This prediction indicates that Kerry has a 45.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.47 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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