Wexford vs Finn Harps Friday 11th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

First Division

Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Wexford Finn Harps

Wexford L L W L W D

Finn Harps L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Finn Harps	Wexford	1 - 0	July 3, 2026
Wexford	Finn Harps	2 - 0	May 1, 2026
Finn Harps	Wexford	1 - 1	March 6, 2026
Finn Harps	Wexford	1 - 3	September 22, 2025
Wexford	Finn Harps	2 - 1	August 1, 2025
Finn Harps	Wexford	1 - 1	June 13, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 21, 26	Home	Athlone Town	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Away	UCD	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Home	Bray Wanderers	2 - 1	Win
Jul 31, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Longford Town	1 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	Kerry	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 21, 26	Home	Cobh Ramblers	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 7, 26	Away	Bray Wanderers	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 3, 26	Away	Longford Town	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	Cork City	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Away	Kerry	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Treaty United	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Wexford	28	9	7	12	32	41	-9	34
10	Finn Harps	28	5	7	16	22	56	-34	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.37% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Wexford has a 56.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.94 %

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