UCD vs Athlone Town Friday 11th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

First Division

Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

UCD Athlone Town

UCD D W L D W L

Athlone Town W W L D L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Athlone Town	UCD	0 - 0	July 31, 2026
UCD	Athlone Town	1 - 0	May 29, 2026
Athlone Town	UCD	0 - 2	April 3, 2026
UCD	Athlone Town	2 - 2	October 10, 2025
Athlone Town	UCD	1 - 2	August 4, 2025
UCD	Athlone Town	2 - 0	May 30, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 21, 26	Away	Kerry	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 7, 26	Home	Wexford	4 - 1	Win
Aug 3, 26	Home	Treaty United	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	Athlone Town	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Home	Cork City	5 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Away	Bray Wanderers	6 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 21, 26	Away	Wexford	0 - 2	Win
Aug 7, 26	Home	Longford Town	2 - 1	Win
Aug 3, 26	Away	Cork City	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	UCD	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Away	Treaty United	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Cobh Ramblers	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	UCD	28	13	5	10	47	33	+14	44
7	Athlone Town	28	9	7	12	28	33	-5	34

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that UCD has a 57.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.96 %

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