Kitakyushu vs Kagoshima United Saturday 26th September 2026 11:00 AM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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J3 League
Kitakyushu logo Kitakyushu
Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Kagoshima United logo Kagoshima United

Match Analysis

Kitakyushu Kagoshima United
Kitakyushu L L D D D D
Kagoshima United W W W D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kitakyushu Kagoshima United 1 - 5 May 24, 2026
Kagoshima United Kitakyushu 1 - 1 April 5, 2026
Kitakyushu Kagoshima United 1 - 1 October 11, 2025
Kagoshima United Kitakyushu 1 - 0 March 23, 2025
Kitakyushu Kagoshima United 1 - 1 August 26, 2023
Kitakyushu Kagoshima United 2 - 2 May 21, 2023

Kitakyushu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 9, 26 Away FC Ryukyu 3 - 0 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Ehime FC 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Away Tochigi SC 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Home Okinawa SV 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Home Kamatamare Sanuki 0 - 0 Draw

Kagoshima United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home FC Ryukyu 2 - 1 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away Kamatamare Sanuki 3 - 4 Win
Aug 26, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 0 - 4 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home FC Gifu 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Home Renofa Yamaguchi 2 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Nara Club 1 - 3 Win

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Kagoshima United 5 4 1 0 10 5 +5 13
19 Kitakyushu 4 0 3 1 5 7 -2 3

Predictions

Kagoshima United to win
This prediction indicates that Kagoshima United has a 50.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.58 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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