Süper Lig
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Missing players 9 (reported 18 Oct)
Kocaelispor
- A. DijksteelMuscle Injury · 540 min, 0 goals this season
- M. HaidaraMuscle Injury · 474 min, 1 goal this season
- B. PetkovicHamstring Injury
- T. ZoukrouMuscle Injury · 416 min, 0 goals this season
- A. JovanovicKnee Injury
- M. MaglicaInjury · 290 min, 1 goal this season
Goztepe
- F. BayirInactive
- I. SabraAnkle Injury
- L. GugeshashviliInactive · 315 min, 0 goals this season
Reports usually appear close to kick-off and may be incomplete: a player not listed is not confirmed fit.
Match Analysis
Kocaelispor
Goztepe
Kocaelispor
L
W
L
W
W
W
Goztepe
W
D
D
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Kocaelispor has had the upper hand in matches between these two teams. However, the model predicts an away win for Goztepe with a 39% probability, noting a clear quality gap favoring them despite their poor recent form. The market odds also lean slightly towards an away win, showing a similar level of confidence. Additionally, the model suggests there's a 55% chance both teams will score, which aligns with Goztepe creating more shooting chances recently, although the market is less convinced, showing only modest confidence in this outcome.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor | Goztepe | 1 - 1 | Süper Lig | April 18, 2026 |
| Goztepe | Kocaelispor | 0 - 0 | Süper Lig | November 23, 2025 |
| Kocaelispor | Goztepe | 3 - 2 | 1. Lig | April 3, 2024 |
| Goztepe | Kocaelispor | 0 - 1 | 1. Lig | November 4, 2023 |
Kocaelispor Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 26 | Away | Besiktas | Süper Lig | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Gazişehir Gaziantep | Süper Lig | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Galatasaray | Süper Lig | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Samsunspor | Süper Lig | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Konyaspor | Süper Lig | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Amed | Süper Lig | 2 - 0 | Win |
Goztepe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 26 | Away | Eyüpspor | Süper Lig | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Alanyaspor | Süper Lig | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 7, 26 | Home | Gazişehir Gaziantep | Süper Lig | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Galatasaray | Süper Lig | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Genclerbirligi | Süper Lig | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Süper Lig Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 12 |
| 15 | Goztepe | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 6 |
View full table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 | Amed | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +16 | 16 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 | Yeni Çorumspor | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Erzurum BB | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Gazişehir Gaziantep | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Goztepe | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 3 |
Predictions
Goztepe to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Goztepe has a 39.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.36 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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Odds Comparison
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