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Veikkausliiga

June 23, 2026 6 days, 4 hours ago
4 – 3
Full Time

Match Analysis

KuPS Ilves
KuPS W D D W W D
Ilves W W L W L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ilves KuPS 1 - 3 April 4, 2026
Ilves KuPS 1 - 1 October 16, 2025
KuPS Ilves 2 - 4 September 14, 2025
KuPS Ilves 0 - 3 June 14, 2025
Ilves KuPS 3 - 0 May 21, 2025
Ilves KuPS 2 - 2 December 20, 2024

KuPS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 17, 26 Away Turku PS 1 - 2 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away VPS 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Inter Turku 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Lahti 2 - 1 Win
May 20, 26 Home FF Jaro 3 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Away Mariehamn 1 - 1 Draw

Ilves Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 17, 26 Home FF Jaro 5 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home Turku PS 1 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Away Lahti 5 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Gnistan 2 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Home Inter Turku 1 - 3 Loss
May 16, 26 Away HJK helsinki 2 - 2 Draw

Veikkausliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 KuPS 13 6 6 1 19 12 +7 24
8 Ilves 12 4 3 5 19 21 -2 15

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.78% likelihood that both KuPS and Ilves will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

KuPS to win
This prediction indicates that KuPS has a 50.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.81 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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