Ligue 1
Match Analysis
Le Mans
Lens
Le Mans
D
L
D
D
W
W
Lens
L
W
L
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Mans | Lens | 1 - 2 | July 27, 2019 |
| Le Mans | Lens | 2 - 1 | May 24, 2013 |
| Lens | Le Mans | 2 - 2 | July 28, 2012 |
| Lens | Le Mans | 1 - 3 | April 6, 2012 |
| Le Mans | Lens | 0 - 1 | November 26, 2011 |
Le Mans Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Stade Brestois 29 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | LE Havre | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | UNFP | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Saumur | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Angers | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Nantes | 1 - 0 | Win |
Lens Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Strasbourg | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Auxerre | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sunderland | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Charleroi | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Boulogne | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Nice | 3 - 1 | Win |
Ligue 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 3 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.88% likelihood that both Le Mans and Lens will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Lens to win
This prediction indicates that Lens has a 54.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.96 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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