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Serie C - Girone A

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Lecco Pergolettese
Lecco L D L L D D
Pergolettese L L D W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Pergolettese Lecco 3 - 0 April 25, 2026
Lecco Pergolettese 1 - 0 December 21, 2025
Pergolettese Lecco 0 - 0 March 1, 2025
Lecco Pergolettese 1 - 0 October 20, 2024
Pergolettese Lecco 4 - 2 January 8, 2023
Lecco Pergolettese 2 - 0 September 10, 2022

Lecco Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Away Treviso 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Arzignano Valchiampo 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Atalanta II 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away Verona 3 - 0 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Catania 3 - 3 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Catania 0 - 0 Draw

Pergolettese Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Union Brescia 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Away Cittadella 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Inter U23 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 25, 26 Home Lecco 3 - 0 Win
Apr 19, 26 Away Vicenza Virtus 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 11, 26 Home Virtus Verona 2 - 2 Draw

Serie C - Girone A Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Lecco 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
20 Pergolettese 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Lecco to win
This prediction indicates that Lecco has a 47.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.57 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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