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FA Cup

Sept. 8, 2026 1 day, 16 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Leiston Grays Athletic
Leiston D W W L W W
Grays Athletic D L D W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Grays Athletic Leiston 0 - 0 September 5, 2026

Leiston Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Grays Athletic 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Away Gorleston 1 - 3 Win
Jul 10, 26 Away Aveley 2 - 4 Win
Sep 27, 25 Home Banbury United 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 13, 25 Home Hackney Wick 4 - 1 Win
Aug 30, 25 Away Cheshunt 1 - 2 Win

Grays Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Leiston 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 20, 25 Home Hitchin Town 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 25 Away Hitchin Town 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 25 Away Barking 1 - 2 Win
Jul 8, 25 Away Wingate & Finchley 2 - 3 Win
Aug 18, 24 Home Witham Town 1 - 4 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.9% likelihood that both Leiston and Grays Athletic will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Leiston to win
This prediction indicates that Leiston has a 46.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.89 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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