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Liga MX

Aug. 2, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Leon Pachuca
Leon L W W L L W
Pachuca W L W W W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Pachuca Leon 2 - 1 January 14, 2026
Leon Pachuca 1 - 1 August 23, 2025
Pachuca Leon 1 - 2 February 6, 2025
Leon Pachuca 0 - 0 July 13, 2024
Pachuca Leon 3 - 2 February 8, 2024
Leon Pachuca 4 - 0 July 11, 2023

Leon Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Home Atlas 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 3, 26 Home Tapatío 4 - 2 Win
Jun 27, 26 Home Mineros de Zacatecas 7 - 4 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away Toluca 4 - 1 Loss
Apr 22, 26 Home Club America 2 - 3 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Home FC Juarez 3 - 1 Win

Pachuca Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Home Puebla 3 - 1 Win
May 18, 26 Away U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 0 Loss
May 15, 26 Home U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Home Toluca 2 - 0 Win
May 4, 26 Away Toluca 0 - 1 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 - 2 Loss

Liga MX Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Pachuca 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Leon 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Pachuca to win
This prediction indicates that Pachuca has a 45.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.16 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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