Ligue 1
Match Analysis
Lille
Estac Troyes
Lille
D
W
D
D
W
L
Estac Troyes
W
D
D
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | Lille | 1 - 1 | June 3, 2023 |
| Lille | Estac Troyes | 5 - 1 | January 15, 2023 |
| Lille | Estac Troyes | 2 - 0 | January 8, 2023 |
| Estac Troyes | Lille | 3 - 0 | May 1, 2022 |
| Lille | Estac Troyes | 2 - 1 | December 4, 2021 |
| Estac Troyes | Lille | 1 - 0 | January 20, 2018 |
Lille Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Angers | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Everton | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Hamburger SV | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | OH Leuven | 3 - 6 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Union St. Gilloise | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Estac Troyes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Lorient | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Paris FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Panetolikos | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Auxerre | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Chasselay MDA | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Grenoble | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Ligue 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 10 | Estac Troyes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.31% likelihood that both Lille and Estac Troyes will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Lille to win
This prediction indicates that Lille has a 61.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.99 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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