Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura
Liverpool Montevideo logo Liverpool Montevideo
Aug. 22, 2026 6 days, 20 hours from now VS
Cerro logo Cerro

Match Analysis

Liverpool Montevideo Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo W D W L D W
Cerro W L W W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Liverpool Montevideo Cerro 1 - 2 July 12, 2026
Cerro Liverpool Montevideo 1 - 1 February 20, 2026
Cerro Liverpool Montevideo 2 - 1 August 24, 2025
Liverpool Montevideo Cerro 0 - 0 May 25, 2025
Liverpool Montevideo Cerro 2 - 1 February 22, 2025
Cerro Liverpool Montevideo 1 - 3 November 30, 2024

Liverpool Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Albion FC 1 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Central Espanol 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Defensor Sporting 1 - 2 Win
Jul 12, 26 Home Cerro 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 8, 26 Home Cerro Largo 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 1, 26 Away Boston River 0 - 1 Win

Cerro Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Danubio 0 - 1 Win
Aug 3, 26 Away Defensor Sporting 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 26, 26 Home Racing Montevideo 1 - 0 Win
Jul 12, 26 Away Liverpool Montevideo 1 - 2 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Penarol 0 - 1 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Cerro Largo 2 - 0 Loss

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Liverpool Montevideo 23 8 8 7 26 23 +3 32
15 Cerro 23 6 4 13 15 34 -19 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.67% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Liverpool Montevideo to win
This prediction indicates that Liverpool Montevideo has a 52.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.33 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Primera División - Apertura

Racing Montevideo vs Club Nacional 17 hours from now · 10:30 p.m. › Juventud vs Atletico Torque 14 hours from now · 7 p.m. › Cerro vs Albion FC 11 hours from now · 4 p.m. › Boston River vs Danubio 3 hours ago · 1 a.m. ›