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Serie C - Girone B

Sept. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Livorno Atalanta II
Livorno D W D W L W
Atalanta II L W L D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Livorno Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Empoli 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Cittadella Vis Modena 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away Pontedera 0 - 2 Win
Apr 12, 26 Away Arezzo 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 3, 26 Home Gubbio 3 - 0 Win

Atalanta II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Away Vado 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Lecco 2 - 3 Win
May 3, 26 Away Casertana 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Catania 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Away Sorrento 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 12, 26 Home SS Monopoli 2 - 0 Win

Serie C - Girone B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Livorno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 Atalanta II 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Livorno to win
This prediction indicates that Livorno has a 41.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.39 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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