USL Championship
Match Analysis
Louisville City
Loudoun United
Louisville City
D
L
W
D
L
W
Loudoun United
L
L
D
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loudoun United | Louisville City | 3 - 3 | April 10, 2026 |
| Loudoun United | Louisville City | 1 - 4 | June 25, 2025 |
| Louisville City | Loudoun United | 2 - 0 | March 22, 2025 |
| Louisville City | Loudoun United | 1 - 0 | September 6, 2024 |
| Loudoun United | Louisville City | 0 - 1 | April 20, 2024 |
| Loudoun United | Louisville City | 1 - 2 | September 23, 2023 |
Louisville City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Detroit City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Indy Eleven | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Orange County SC | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 5 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Birmingham Legion | 2 - 1 | Win |
Loudoun United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Colorado Springs | 4 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | El Paso Locomotive | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | New Mexico United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Detroit City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Charleston Battery | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Hartford Athletic | 2 - 0 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Louisville City | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 36 | +1 | 32 |
| 21 | Loudoun United | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 20 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.38% likelihood that both Louisville City and Loudoun United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Louisville City to win
This prediction indicates that Louisville City has a 62.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.03 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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