Mławianka Mława vs Sokół Ostróda Saturday 18th July 2026 11:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Mławianka Mława Sokół Ostróda

Mławianka Mława L L L L L L

Sokół Ostróda D W W L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Mławianka Mława Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	Znicz Pruszków	4 - 1	Loss
Feb 15, 25	Away	Olimpia Elbląg	6 - 3	Loss
Feb 17, 24	Away	Olimpia Elbląg	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 16, 23	Home	Wisla Plock	0 - 2	Loss
Jan 21, 23	Home	Stomil Olsztyn	0 - 4	Loss
Jan 14, 23	Away	Znicz Pruszków	3 - 0	Loss

Sokół Ostróda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 11, 23	Home	Concordia Elbląg	2 - 2	Draw
Jan 28, 23	Away	Olimpia Elbląg	2 - 3	Win
Jul 23, 22	Home	Concordia Elbląg	4 - 1	Win
Jul 16, 22	Home	Gedania Gdansk	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 9, 22	Home	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1 - 5	Loss
May 22, 22	Home	Garbarnia Kraków	4 - 7	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.11% likelihood that both Mławianka Mława and Sokół Ostróda will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Mławianka Mława or Sokół Ostróda to win

This prediction indicates that Sokół Ostróda has a 41.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.53 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 82.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 74.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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