Liga Pro
Match Analysis
Macara
Emelec
Macara
L
D
D
L
W
W
Emelec
L
W
D
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | Macara | 2 - 0 | May 24, 2026 |
| Emelec | Macara | 0 - 2 | December 9, 2025 |
| Macara | Emelec | 3 - 0 | November 2, 2025 |
| Macara | Emelec | 1 - 1 | June 29, 2025 |
| Emelec | Macara | 0 - 0 | March 1, 2025 |
| Macara | Emelec | 1 - 1 | November 9, 2024 |
Macara Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Libertad | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Santos | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 18, 26 | Home | Universidad Catolica | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Santos | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Barcelona SC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Guayaquil City FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
Emelec Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | LDU de Quito | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Tecnico Universitario | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | Guayaquil City FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Aucas | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cuenca | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Mushuc Runa SC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Liga Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Macara | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 26 | +7 | 42 |
| 12 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 32 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.71% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Macara to win
This prediction indicates that Macara has a 55.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.10 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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