Liga Pro
Match Analysis
Aucas
Libertad
Aucas
W
W
L
L
W
L
Libertad
W
W
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | Aucas | 3 - 2 | May 2, 2026 |
| Libertad | Aucas | 3 - 2 | August 23, 2025 |
| Aucas | Libertad | 2 - 0 | May 6, 2025 |
| Libertad | Aucas | 1 - 1 | October 26, 2024 |
| Aucas | Libertad | 2 - 0 | May 5, 2024 |
| Aucas | Libertad | 1 - 2 | August 27, 2023 |
Aucas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Leones del Norte | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Emelec | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Macara | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Orense SC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Tecnico Universitario | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Independiente del Valle | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Libertad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Universidad Catolica | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Orense SC | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | Mushuc Runa SC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Delfin SC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Barcelona SC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Tecnico Universitario | 1 - 0 | Win |
Liga Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aucas | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 41 |
| 7 | Libertad | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 33 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Aucas to win
This prediction indicates that Aucas has a 55.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.90 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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