Liga 3
Match Analysis
Mafra
SC Covilha
Mafra
L
D
W
L
L
W
SC Covilha
L
D
W
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra | SC Covilha | 2 - 0 | December 13, 2025 |
| SC Covilha | Mafra | 0 - 0 | September 14, 2025 |
| SC Covilha | Mafra | 1 - 2 | April 24, 2023 |
| Mafra | SC Covilha | 3 - 2 | November 4, 2022 |
| SC Covilha | Mafra | 2 - 0 | March 19, 2022 |
| Mafra | SC Covilha | 1 - 1 | October 31, 2021 |
Mafra Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Atlético CP | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Vitória de Sernache | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Alverca | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | FC Fredericia | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Esbjerg | 0 - 2 | Win |
SC Covilha Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Atlético CP | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Vitória de Sernache | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | União Santarém | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Amora | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Caldas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Away | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Liga 3 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mafra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 4 |
| 6 | SC Covilha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.66% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Mafra to win
This prediction indicates that Mafra has a 54.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.28 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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