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Liga 3

Aug. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Oliveirense Vitória de Sernache
Oliveirense D L W D L W
Vitória de Sernache L D D W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Oliveirense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Louletano 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Felgueiras 1932 1 - 5 Loss
May 9, 26 Away Feirense 1 - 2 Win
May 2, 26 Home Lusitânia Lourosa 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 27, 26 Away Chaves 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 22, 26 Home Benfica B 3 - 0 Win

Vitória de Sernache Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Mafra 5 - 0 Loss
Jun 10, 26 Away Leça 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Home Louletano 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Atlético Malveira 0 - 3 Win
May 17, 26 Home Oliveira Hospital 0 - 0 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Louletano 1 - 2 Win

Liga 3 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Vitória de Sernache 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 Oliveirense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Oliveirense to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Oliveirense has a 37.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.06 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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