Mafra vs Tirsense Saturday 19th September 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Mafra Tirsense

Mafra W D L D W L

Tirsense W W L D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	SC Covilha	1 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Atlético Malveira	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Lusitano Évora 1911	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Away	Atlético CP	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Vitória de Sernache	5 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Alverca	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 23, 26	Home	Vinhais	3 - 0	Win
Aug 16, 26	Away	Rebordosa	0 - 1	Win
Jul 29, 26	Home	Varzim	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Chaves II	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	Os Limianos	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 4, 26	Home	Monção	1 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that Mafra has a 45.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.99 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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