J3 League
Match Analysis
Matsumoto Yamaga
Gainare Tottori
Matsumoto Yamaga
D
L
D
D
D
L
Gainare Tottori
W
L
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gainare Tottori | Matsumoto Yamaga | 0 - 0 | August 23, 2025 |
| Matsumoto Yamaga | Gainare Tottori | 1 - 0 | May 18, 2025 |
| Matsumoto Yamaga | Gainare Tottori | 3 - 4 | October 20, 2024 |
| Gainare Tottori | Matsumoto Yamaga | 0 - 4 | June 8, 2024 |
| Gainare Tottori | Matsumoto Yamaga | 2 - 1 | August 5, 2023 |
| Matsumoto Yamaga | Gainare Tottori | 0 - 0 | April 2, 2023 |
Matsumoto Yamaga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | Away | Roasso Kumamoto | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Sagamihara | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Osaka | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Kitakyushu | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Ehime FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Biwako Shiga | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Gainare Tottori Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Kitakyushu | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Renofa Yamaguchi | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Biwako Shiga | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Nagoya Grampus | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Fukushima United | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Roasso Kumamoto | 1 - 1 | Draw |
J3 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gainare Tottori | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
Predictions
Matsumoto Yamaga to win
This prediction indicates that Matsumoto Yamaga has a 41.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.24 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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