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Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Thespakusatsu Gunma Kochi United
Thespakusatsu Gunma W L L W L L
Kochi United L W L L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kochi United Thespakusatsu Gunma 0 - 1 November 29, 2025
Thespakusatsu Gunma Kochi United 2 - 2 May 17, 2025

Thespakusatsu Gunma Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Parceiro Nagano 1 - 2 Win
Aug 26, 26 Away Tokyo Verdy 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Biwako Shiga 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 19, 26 Away Tohoku Gakuin University 1 - 3 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Sagamihara 1 - 4 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Kagoshima United 1 - 0 Loss

Kochi United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Home Kamatamare Sanuki 2 - 1 Win
Aug 19, 26 Away Verspah Oita 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away FC Gifu 7 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Matsumoto Yamaga 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away Omiya Ardija 2 - 1 Loss

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Kochi United 3 1 1 1 2 8 -6 4
20 Thespakusatsu Gunma 3 0 0 3 3 8 -5 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.46% likelihood that both Thespakusatsu Gunma and Kochi United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Thespakusatsu Gunma to win
This prediction indicates that Thespakusatsu Gunma has a 43.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.37 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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