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J3 League
Kagoshima United logo Kagoshima United
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Tochigi SC logo Tochigi SC

Match Analysis

Kagoshima United Tochigi SC
Kagoshima United W W D W W W
Tochigi SC L L D W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tochigi SC Kagoshima United 2 - 0 November 9, 2025
Kagoshima United Tochigi SC 1 - 0 July 5, 2025
Tochigi SC Kagoshima United 2 - 1 September 22, 2024
Kagoshima United Tochigi SC 2 - 1 April 21, 2024
Tochigi SC Kagoshima United 3 - 1 September 22, 2019
Kagoshima United Tochigi SC 2 - 0 June 22, 2019

Kagoshima United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Kamatamare Sanuki 3 - 4 Win
Aug 26, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 0 - 4 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home FC Gifu 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Home Renofa Yamaguchi 2 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Nara Club 1 - 3 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Thespakusatsu Gunma 1 - 0 Win

Tochigi SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away FC Gifu 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Away Kawasaki Frontale 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Kitakyushu 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 19, 26 Home Urayasu 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Kanazawa 3 - 2 Win

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Kagoshima United 4 3 1 0 8 4 +4 10
8 Tochigi SC 4 1 2 1 6 8 -2 5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Kagoshima United to win
This prediction indicates that Kagoshima United has a 60.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.01 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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