Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Fagiano Okayama Tuesday 21st July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Fagiano Okayama

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv W W D D D L

Fagiano Okayama W D L W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 1, 26	Away	Qarabag	2 - 6	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Veres Rivne	0 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	1 - 1	Draw
May 12, 26	Home	Karpaty	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Zorya Luhansk	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Polessya	0 - 1	Loss

Fagiano Okayama Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Away	Urawa	0 - 2	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Urawa	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Cerezo Osaka	2 - 3	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Shimizu S-pulse	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Vissel Kobe	0 - 3	Win
May 6, 26	Away	V-varen Nagasaki	2 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.29% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win

This prediction indicates that Metalist 1925 Kharkiv has a 55.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.49 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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