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Ligue 2
Metz logo Metz
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Saint Etienne logo Saint Etienne

Match Analysis

Metz Saint Etienne
Metz D D D W L W
Saint Etienne W W W W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Metz Saint Etienne 2 - 1 June 2, 2024
Saint Etienne Metz 2 - 1 May 30, 2024
Saint Etienne Metz 1 - 3 April 22, 2023
Metz Saint Etienne 3 - 2 November 7, 2022
Saint Etienne Metz 1 - 0 March 6, 2022
Metz Saint Etienne 1 - 1 October 30, 2021

Metz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away Annecy 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Laval 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 14, 26 Away Grenoble 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Guingamp 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home FC Kaiserslautern 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Fortuna Sittard 3 - 1 Win

Saint Etienne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 31, 26 Away Dijon 2 - 3 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home Grenoble 4 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Home Clermont Foot 3 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Sochaux 0 - 3 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Venezia 4 - 3 Win
Jul 29, 26 Home Lausanne 4 - 0 Win

Ligue 2 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Saint Etienne 4 4 0 0 13 3 +10 12
7 Metz 4 1 3 0 4 3 +1 6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.78% likelihood that both Metz and Saint Etienne will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Saint Etienne to win
This prediction indicates that Saint Etienne has a 43.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.34 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Reims vs Guingamp 9 hours from now · 3 p.m. › Metz vs Rodez 9 hours from now · 3 p.m. › Saint Etienne vs Montpellier 15 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›