Mexico vs England Monday 06th July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Mexico England

Mexico W W W W W W

England W W D W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 1, 26	Home	Ecuador	2 - 0	Win
Jun 25, 26	Away	Czech Republic	0 - 3	Win
Jun 19, 26	Home	South Korea	1 - 0	Win
Jun 11, 26	Home	South Africa	2 - 0	Win
Jun 5, 26	Home	Serbia	5 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Australia	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 1, 26	Home	Congo DR	2 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Panama	0 - 2	Win
Jun 23, 26	Home	Ghana	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Home	Croatia	4 - 2	Win
Jun 10, 26	Home	Costa Rica	3 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	New Zealand	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Mexico	4	4	0	0	8	0	+8	12
4	England	4	3	1	0	8	3	+5	10

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.61% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that England has a 51.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.87 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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