Mirassol vs Gremio Saturday 18th July 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Mirassol Gremio

Mirassol L L W W L D

Gremio W L D W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Gremio	Mirassol	0 - 1	September 13, 2025
Mirassol	Gremio	4 - 1	April 16, 2025

Mirassol Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Away	Atletico Paranaense	1 - 0	Loss
May 26, 26	Away	Lanus	1 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Fluminense	1 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Always Ready	1 - 2	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Atletico-MG	3 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Chapecoense-sc	1 - 1	Draw

Gremio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Cascavel	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Corinthians	1 - 3	Loss
May 26, 26	Home	Atletico Torque	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Santos	3 - 2	Win
May 21, 26	Home	Palestino	2 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Bahia	1 - 1	Draw

Serie A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	Gremio	18	5	6	7	20	23	-3	21
18	Mirassol	17	4	4	9	18	24	-6	16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.18% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Score 0 - 0

This prediction indicates that Mirassol will score 0 goals, and Gremio will score 0 goals in the football match.

Match Result (1X2) - Draw

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed