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Montedio Yamagata logo Montedio Yamagata
Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Ventforet Kofu logo Ventforet Kofu

Match Analysis

Montedio Yamagata Ventforet Kofu
Montedio Yamagata L W W L D W
Ventforet Kofu D L L L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ventforet Kofu Montedio Yamagata 1 - 3 August 2, 2025
Montedio Yamagata Ventforet Kofu 0 - 4 May 25, 2025
Ventforet Kofu Montedio Yamagata 1 - 2 September 28, 2024
Montedio Yamagata Ventforet Kofu 0 - 1 March 16, 2024
Montedio Yamagata Ventforet Kofu 2 - 1 November 12, 2023
Ventforet Kofu Montedio Yamagata 1 - 2 February 18, 2023

Montedio Yamagata Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Shonan Bellmare 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Tochigi City 2 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Albirex Niigata 3 - 4 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Oita Trinita 1 - 0 Loss
May 31, 26 Home Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Shonan Bellmare 3 - 1 Win

Ventforet Kofu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Sagan Tosu 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Matsumoto Yamaga 3 - 0 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Vegalta Sendai 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Parceiro Nagano 0 - 0 Draw

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Ventforet Kofu 22 10 4 8 23 19 +4 34
27 Montedio Yamagata 22 7 3 12 23 28 -5 24

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.56% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Montedio Yamagata to win
This prediction indicates that Montedio Yamagata has a 43.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.84 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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J2 League

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