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Championship

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Partick Ayr Utd
Partick D L W W D D
Ayr Utd L D W W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ayr Utd Partick 1 - 1 April 4, 2026
Partick Ayr Utd 2 - 1 January 24, 2026
Ayr Utd Partick 0 - 0 December 6, 2025
Partick Ayr Utd 2 - 1 October 21, 2025
Partick Ayr Utd 2 - 0 August 16, 2025
Ayr Utd Partick 0 - 2 May 9, 2025

Partick Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Away Inverness CT 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Away Hibernian 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Livingston 2 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Morton 0 - 1 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Clydebank 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 21, 26 Home Stenhousemuir 2 - 2 Draw

Ayr Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Kilmarnock 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Dunfermline 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Arbroath 2 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Alloa Athletic 4 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Edinburgh City 2 - 0 Win
Jul 14, 26 Away Falkirk 0 - 1 Win

Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Partick 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
2 Ayr Utd 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Partick to win
This prediction indicates that Partick has a 53.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.35 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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