Morton vs Raith Rovers Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Championship

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Morton Raith Rovers
Morton L L D L L L
Raith Rovers W W L W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Raith Rovers Morton 3 - 2 April 11, 2026
Morton Raith Rovers 0 - 0 February 14, 2026
Raith Rovers Morton 1 - 1 November 1, 2025
Morton Raith Rovers 0 - 1 September 6, 2025
Raith Rovers Morton 1 - 1 April 26, 2025
Morton Raith Rovers 3 - 3 March 25, 2025

Morton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 11, 26 Home Livingston 1 - 4 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Queen's Park 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Away Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 22, 26 Home Arbroath 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Partick 0 - 1 Loss

Raith Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 12, 26 Home Arbroath 4 - 0 Win
Sep 5, 26 Away Inverness CT 0 - 2 Win
Aug 28, 26 Away Dunfermline 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Ayr Utd 2 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Queen's Park 1 - 2 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Draw

Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Raith Rovers 6 4 1 1 11 3 +8 13
10 Morton 6 0 1 5 4 12 -8 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.71% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Raith Rovers to win
This prediction indicates that Raith Rovers has a 60.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.62 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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