Iraqi League
Match Analysis
Mosul
Naft
Mosul
D
L
W
W
D
W
Naft
D
D
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mosul | Naft | 0 - 0 | April 22, 2026 |
| Naft | Mosul | 1 - 2 | November 21, 2025 |
Mosul Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 26 | Home | Al Zawra'a | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Al Shorta | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Karbala | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Diyala | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Al-Karma | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 1, 26 | Home | Al-Qasim | 3 - 0 | Win |
Naft Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Al Talaba | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Duhok | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Naft Maysan | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Al Karkh | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 1, 26 | Home | Newroz | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Al Zawra'a | 0 - 1 | Win |
Iraqi League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mosul | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | Naft | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Mosul to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Mosul has a 39.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.19 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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