Eerste Divisie logo

Eerste Divisie
MVV logo MVV
Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Almere City FC logo Almere City FC

Match Analysis

MVV Almere City FC
MVV L W W W D L
Almere City FC W W D L W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
MVV Almere City FC 1 - 1 February 2, 2026
Almere City FC MVV 4 - 0 November 7, 2025
Almere City FC MVV 1 - 0 May 19, 2023
MVV Almere City FC 1 - 0 November 19, 2022
MVV Almere City FC 0 - 3 March 27, 2022
Almere City FC MVV 0 - 2 November 19, 2021

MVV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Away KRC Genk II 6 - 0 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home FC Volendam 1 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away FC Eindhoven 2 - 3 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home Jong Utrecht 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Patro Eisden 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Away KAA Gent II 1 - 0 Loss

Almere City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Away Vitesse 0 - 3 Win
Aug 14, 26 Home Jong PSV 3 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Den Bosch 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Emmen 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home FC OSS 8 - 4 Win
Jul 15, 26 Home FC Volendam 2 - 1 Win

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 MVV 3 3 0 0 6 3 +3 9
3 Almere City FC 3 2 1 0 7 2 +5 7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.36% likelihood that both MVV and Almere City FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Almere City FC to win
This prediction indicates that Almere City FC has a 47.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.08 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Eerste Divisie

Waalwijk vs Jong PSV 14 hours from now · 9 p.m. › FC OSS vs Jong Utrecht 14 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Jong AZ vs MVV 14 hours from now · 9 p.m. › FC Volendam vs Dordrecht 14 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Roda vs NAC Breda 14 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport 14 hours from now · 9 p.m. › Den Bosch vs Vitesse 14 hours from now · 9 p.m. ›