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Meistriliiga
Nõmme United logo Nõmme United
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Paide logo Paide

Match Analysis

Nõmme United Paide
Nõmme United L L L L L W
Paide W W D L L W
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Paide Nõmme United 4 - 1 August 23, 2026
Nõmme United Paide 2 - 3 May 10, 2026
Paide Nõmme United 3 - 1 April 8, 2026
Nõmme United Paide 0 - 4 November 3, 2024
Paide Nõmme United 7 - 2 September 14, 2024
Nõmme United Paide 0 - 1 May 12, 2024

Nõmme United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Laagri 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Away Paide 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home Tammeka 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Home Trans Narva 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 Win

Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Flora Tallinn 1 - 2 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Nõmme United 4 - 1 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Trans Narva 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 12, 26 Away Rapid Vienna 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 6, 26 Home Rapid Vienna 1 - 4 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home Kuressaare 1 - 0 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Paide 24 12 6 6 40 31 +9 42
8 Nõmme United 25 8 1 16 42 60 -18 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.24% likelihood that both Nõmme United and Paide will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Paide to win
This prediction indicates that Paide has a 61.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.18 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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