Eerste Divisie
Match Analysis
NAC Breda
Jong Utrecht
NAC Breda
W
L
W
L
W
W
Jong Utrecht
L
L
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | Jong Utrecht | 3 - 1 | March 1, 2024 |
| Jong Utrecht | NAC Breda | 1 - 1 | October 2, 2023 |
| Jong Utrecht | NAC Breda | 4 - 1 | February 20, 2023 |
| NAC Breda | Jong Utrecht | 3 - 1 | September 16, 2022 |
| Jong Utrecht | NAC Breda | 1 - 0 | April 4, 2022 |
| NAC Breda | Jong Utrecht | 1 - 1 | November 19, 2021 |
NAC Breda Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Jong Ajax | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | VVV Venlo | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | FC OSS | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Bolton | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | OFI | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Lokeren-Temse | 1 - 2 | Win |
Jong Utrecht Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Heracles | 1 - 6 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Vitesse | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | MVV | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Borussia Dortmund II | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Werder Bremen II | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 24, 26 | Away | Jong Ajax | 0 - 2 | Win |
Eerste Divisie Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.84% likelihood that both NAC Breda and Jong Utrecht will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.NAC Breda to win
This prediction indicates that NAC Breda has a 67.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.60 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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