Primera División
Match Analysis
Nacional Potosí
Aurora
Nacional Potosí
L
D
L
D
L
W
Aurora
W
W
D
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | Nacional Potosí | 1 - 2 | September 27, 2025 |
| Nacional Potosí | Aurora | 3 - 1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Aurora | Nacional Potosí | 1 - 1 | December 17, 2024 |
| Nacional Potosí | Aurora | 1 - 3 | September 14, 2024 |
| Aurora | Nacional Potosí | 4 - 1 | March 12, 2024 |
| Nacional Potosí | Aurora | 1 - 0 | March 3, 2024 |
Nacional Potosí Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 26 | Away | Guabirá | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 14, 26 | Away | Bolívar | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Always Ready | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 23, 26 | Away | Blooming | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 11, 26 | Home | Universitario de Vinto | 1 - 0 | Win |
Aurora Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 26 | Away | Universitario de Vinto | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Real Tomayapo | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Real Oruro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Guabirá | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 28, 26 | Home | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 21, 26 | Away | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aurora | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 13 |
| 11 | Nacional Potosí | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.19% likelihood that both Nacional Potosí and Aurora will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Nacional Potosí to win
This prediction indicates that Nacional Potosí has a 41.26% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.77 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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