Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia Saturday 30th May 2026 08:00 AM football predictions.

Nagoya Grampus Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus L L W W W D

Machida Zelvia W D D W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Machida Zelvia	Nagoya Grampus	3 - 1	November 30, 2025
Nagoya Grampus	Machida Zelvia	1 - 2	March 2, 2025
Machida Zelvia	Nagoya Grampus	1 - 0	July 6, 2024
Nagoya Grampus	Machida Zelvia	0 - 1	March 2, 2024
Machida Zelvia	Nagoya Grampus	3 - 4	August 16, 2017
Nagoya Grampus	Machida Zelvia	2 - 1	May 17, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Cerezo Osaka	6 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Kyoto Sanga	3 - 0	Win
May 6, 26	Home	Gamba Osaka	2 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	V-varen Nagasaki	1 - 2	Win
Apr 29, 26	Home	Fagiano Okayama	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 22, 26	Home	Urawa	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Kawasaki Frontale	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Home	Tokyo Verdy	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	JEF United Chiba	0 - 2	Win
May 6, 26	Home	Yokohama F. Marinos	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Kashima	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Machida Zelvia	18	8	8	2	23	19	+4	32
5	Nagoya Grampus	18	8	5	5	31	28	+3	29

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Machida Zelvia has a 37.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.36 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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