Nantes vs La Roche VF Wednesday 22nd July 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

Nantes La Roche VF

Nantes D L W L L D

La Roche VF L D W L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Toulouse	0 - 0	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Lens	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Marseille	3 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Rennes	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Away	Paris Saint Germain	3 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Stade Brestois 29	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Dec 21, 24	Home	Stade Brestois 29	0 - 1	Loss
Nov 29, 24	Away	Orleans	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 16, 24	Away	Olympique Cazaux	0 - 6	Win
Jan 2, 22	Away	Versailles	4 - 0	Loss
Dec 19, 21	Away	Montauban TG	1 - 2	Win
Nov 28, 21	Away	Trégunc	0 - 3	Win

This prediction indicates that Nantes has a 63.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.65 %

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