Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife Saturday 26th September 2026 10:30 PM football predictions.

Serie B

Nautico Recife

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Sport Recife

Match Analysis

Nautico Recife Sport Recife

Nautico Recife L W W D W D

Sport Recife W L L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sport Recife	Nautico Recife	2 - 0	May 30, 2026
Sport Recife	Nautico Recife	2 - 2	March 21, 2024
Nautico Recife	Sport Recife	0 - 2	March 4, 2023
Sport Recife	Nautico Recife	2 - 1	September 29, 2022
Nautico Recife	Sport Recife	1 - 1	June 18, 2022
Sport Recife	Nautico Recife	3 - 2	January 29, 2022

Nautico Recife Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 9, 26	Away	America Mineiro	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 3, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	1 - 0	Win
Aug 28, 26	Home	Athletic Club	2 - 1	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	São Bernardo	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 19, 26	Home	Ceara	1 - 0	Win
Aug 14, 26	Away	Ponte Preta	1 - 1	Draw

Sport Recife Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 11, 26	Home	Ponte Preta	2 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Ceara	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Away	Novorizontino	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 24, 26	Home	America Mineiro	3 - 0	Win
Aug 19, 26	Away	Avai	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 14, 26	Home	Londrina	2 - 1	Win

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Sport Recife	26	9	11	6	34	26	+8	38
11	Nautico Recife	27	10	7	10	32	30	+2	37

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Nautico Recife to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Nautico Recife has a 41.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.05 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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