Naval 1º de Maio vs Felgueiras 1932 Sunday 20th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Naval 1º de Maio Felgueiras 1932

Naval 1º de Maio D L L W L L

Felgueiras 1932 W D D D W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Away	AD Nogueirense	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 15, 26	Away	Estrela	2 - 0	Loss
Oct 16, 16	Home	Maritimo	0 - 4	Loss
Sep 25, 16	Home	Fafe	3 - 2	Win
Sep 4, 16	Away	Benfica Castelo Branco	8 - 0	Loss
May 14, 11	Home	Guimaraes	0 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Home	Chaves	2 - 1	Win
Aug 24, 26	Away	Farense	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 17, 26	Home	AVS	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Away	Feirense	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Moreirense	2 - 1	Win
Jul 29, 26	Away	Pacos Ferreira	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Felgueiras 1932 has a 46.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.33 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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