Necaxa vs Cruz Azul Saturday 29th August 2026 04:00 AM football predictions.

Liga MX

Necaxa

Aug. 29, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Cruz Azul

Match Analysis

Necaxa Cruz Azul

Necaxa L W W D W W

Cruz Azul L W W D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cruz Azul	Necaxa	4 - 1	April 27, 2026
Necaxa	Cruz Azul	1 - 1	October 22, 2025
Necaxa	Cruz Azul	1 - 3	January 29, 2025
Cruz Azul	Necaxa	3 - 0	October 5, 2024
Cruz Azul	Necaxa	1 - 2	March 16, 2024
Necaxa	Cruz Azul	1 - 3	October 5, 2023

Necaxa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 3, 26	Away	Toluca	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Monterrey	2 - 1	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	Atlante FC	2 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Atlas	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 1, 26	Away	Correcaminos Uat	3 - 6	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Monarcas	1 - 0	Win

Cruz Azul Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Home	Atlante FC	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Home	Puebla	2 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Atletico San Luis	2 - 3	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Monarcas	3 - 3	Draw
May 25, 26	Away	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	1 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Home	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	0 - 0	Draw

Liga MX Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Necaxa	2	2	0	0	4	2	+2	6
6	Cruz Azul	3	2	0	1	7	6	+1	6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.73% likelihood that both Necaxa and Cruz Azul will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Cruz Azul to win

This prediction indicates that Cruz Azul has a 47.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.67 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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